Nominal GDP targeting
October 25, 2011
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… is gaining ground. This recent post by Paul Krugman makes the case – with some reservations:
My beef with market monetarism early on was that its proponents seemed to be saying that the Fed could always hit whatever nominal GDP level it wanted; this seemed to me to vastly underrate the problems caused by a liquidity trap. My view was always that the only way the Fed could be assured of getting traction was via expectations, especially expectations of higher inflation –a view that went all the way back to my early stuff on Japan. And I didn’t think the climate was ripe for that kind of inflation-creating exercise. At this point, however, we seem to have a broad convergence. As I read them, the market monetarists have largely moved to an expectations view.
For another take at the same issue, this post on The Moral Case for NGDP Targeting is also interesting.